The Black Swan
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Engelsk
What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? What can Catherine the Great's lovers tell us ab...
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Forlagsbeskrivelse af The Black Swan The Impact Of The Highly Improbable af NASSIM NICHOLAS TALEB
What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? What can Catherine the Great's lovers tell us about probability? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This title deals with this questions. The phenomenal international bestseller that shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertaintyWhat have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they''re impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them. ''Taleb is a bouncy and even exhilarating guide . . I came to relish what he said, and even develop a sneaking affection for him as a person'' Will Self, Independent on Sunday''He leaps like some superhero of the mind'' Boyd Tonkin, Independent
Detaljer
Forlag
Penguin Books Ltd
ISBN
9780141034591
Sprog
Engelsk
Sider
480
Udgivelsesdato
28-02-2008
Format
Paperback
Varenr.
1603958
EAN nr.
9780141034591
Varegruppe
Engelsk non fiction div.
Højde/Dybde (mm)
129
Bredde (mm)
197
Længde (mm)
28
Vægt (g)
348
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